GOES-R Nearcast shows the low level moisture and instability axis from the Low Rolling Plains off the Caprock northwest into the southern Texas Panhandle at 21z. The Nearcast of CAPE is around 1500 J/K in the LUB forecast area but higher in northeast New Mexico.

Waiting for storms to develop. But once storms develop, Nearcast of low level Precipitable waters shows the higher low level moisture axis will remain over the South Plains and Rolling Plains through the evening. With the directional shear from low level easterly to modestly strong mid and upper level westerly flow, potential for convection to grow upscale into MCS later tonight.

Tim/Ty