A three-body scatter spike and strong indications in the dual-pol data have led the decision to a severe thunderstorm warning for hail in southern Herkimer County, NY.
Neither MRMS nor 3DVAR are as impressed with the storm. Updraft intensity fields in the 3DVAR are rather weak, but there were indications of strong 10km (storm-top) divergence (greater than 9.5 s^-1) starting at 1915 UTC.
MRMS MESH has peaked under 1″ and had just a 38% POSH.