20110526 EWP Operational Morning Discussion

Previous forecast remains on track.  We have decided to begin at Sterling so we can interrogate lighting products even thought we think this will be at the southern end of the best severe storm area.

Mostly sunny skies in combination with relatively steep mid-level lapse rates have led to extremely unstable air with CAPE values in the 3-4K range over VT-NY-ern PA-wrn MD-N VA area with CIN removed.  A shortwave trough, perhaps convectively reinforced, was located over srn OH-ern KY moving east.  Effective shear values are increasing rapidly.

CI has already occured over ern WV.  We are in luck.

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